十月份爱城房地产报告

音响神仙鱼

http://www.ereb.com/marketactivity/October2006.html
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- _/ z- o; u8 W& t7 b  Monthly MLS® Report
Pace of real estate sales cools with the weather
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Edmonton, November 2, 2006: As usual at this time of year, the pace of real estate sales has cooled according to the Edmonton Real Estate Board. Average prices* for single family dwellings inched up in October while condo prices dropped slightly from the previous month. As a result the average residential price dropped 0.75 percent to $276,641.
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More homes were sold in October than September even though listings were down 10%. “It appears that housing prices have stabilized for the time being,” said Madeline Sarafinchan, EREB President. “The inventory remains below historic levels which means that residential pricing is still competitive. Buyers and sellers should work closely with their REALTOR® to establish an effective pricing strategy based on the most recent neighbourhood and market trends.”
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8 a0 H2 C# v" ^: e  N% _The average price for a single family dwelling on the Edmonton MLS® in October was $326,292, up 1.3% from last month. Condo prices were down 1.6% from September and sold on average for $208,962. Duplexes and rowhouses sold on average for $282,551 (up 1.26%).
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6 P- L* V. x2 Y1 z4 ^At the end of October there were 2,555 residential properties available as compared to 3,806 last October. The average days-on-market was 23 days; the same as last month but down from 42 a year ago. There were 1,890 residential sales in October – a slight increase from the one month sales in September (1,844).

. G8 e8 j: [" j* ]+ @  m! TDespite the snow, reminders of the scorching summer linger in the total number of sales. Year-to-date residential sales have already exceeded the 2005 year end total sales by 1,333 units with two months still to go this year.
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& ?: |" a, O/ `( i4 i“After the frantic pace of the past year the market is regaining balance,” said Sarafinchan. “Panic buying is reduced and buyers have a little more time to consider a home purchase. At the same time sellers are pleased with the relatively fast turnover of good looking, well-priced property.”
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The number of homes selling below their list price is another indicator of the market rebalancing. In October, 65% of single family dwellings sold below their list price. They sold on average in 33 days. Houses which sold over their list price were on the market for just 16 or 17 days on average and represent just 19% of single family dwellings sold. Sarafinchan noted that the number of sales attracting multiple offers seems to be down although no exact figures are available.
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$ w! _& A* @/ Y6 OThe strength of the Alberta economy is also reflected in commercial sales. The number of commercial properties sold through the Board is up 12.5% for the year. Apartment sales are up from 44 to 94 properties (YTD through October) and land sales are up from 90 to 132. Sales of investment property and leases also show growth this year. Total value of commercial property sold to date is up 68% to a total of $247 million.
The total value of commercial land sold so far this year is over $50 million as compared to $39 million in 2004.

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% Q& [- \' }' D  c6 {; `" G* Average prices indicate market trends only. They do not reflect actual prices, which vary from house to house and area to area. For information on a specific area, contact your local REALTOR.

/ a9 w! {  L  P) I7 w" K+ LThe Edmonton Real Estate Board, founded in 1927, is a professional association of 2,737 Brokers and Agents in the greater Edmonton area. The Board administers the Multiple Listing Service®, provides professional education to its members, and enforces a strict Code of Ethics and Standards of Business Practice. The EREB also advertises property listings and publishes consumer information on the Internet at www.mls.ca and www.ereb.com, as well as in the Real Estate Weekly and on their website at www.rewedmonton.ca for the benefit of REALTORS and their clients. The EREB supports charities involving shelter and the homeless through the Edmonton Realtors’ Charitable Foundation (ERCF).
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1 L! U; M1 t* S, Z9 @7 CHighlights of MLS® activityOctober 2006 activity        Record for
the month*        % change from
same month in 2005
Total MLS® sales this month        2,142*        36.90%
Value of total MLS® sales - month        $617 million*        89.60%
Value of total MLS® sales - year        $5.67 billion*        53.80%
Residential¹ sales this month        1,890*        41.08%
  a/ s1 ~& m- _6 JResidential average price        $276,641*        39.90%
SFD² average selling price - month        $326,292*        44.50%
! d5 f0 U9 h9 K5 F' ^9 k! SSFD² median³ selling price        $315,000*        47.90%
Condo average selling price        $208,962*        42.50%
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¹. Residential includes SFD, condos and duplex/row houses.
! R. n: ?& i; `6 S( |. ^( C& L². Single Family Dwelling
& P# |9 P) K4 Z% O. Q( \³. The middle figure in a list of all sales prices
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For more information contact:
% }" H0 R0 H, N) z; CJon Hall, Marketing and Communications Manager
0 S( z2 N  v0 X+ j+ G/ ?4 R/ ?Bus: (780) 453-9323
Fax: (780) 452-1135
E-mail: query@ereb.com
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robingliu

The average price of CONDO dropped,but we did not see any decreasing. Who knows why?

[ 本帖最后由 robingliu 于 2006-11-3 16:46 编辑 ]

Z

原帖由 robingliu 于 2006-11-3 16:32 发表
& Z0 G' B# I( [; Kaverage price of CONDO droped,but we did not see any decreasing.who knows why?

“平均房价”不等于“房价”。

- x2 O- l. F% j; z0 z' g/ U, W: g6 w打个比方，上月房子卖出2个，一个10万，一个50万，那平均就是30万。这个月其实没升没降，卖出2个，一个10万，一个40万，平均就到25万了。
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0 z& R4 Q) q& {3 l+ g; D0 A当市场交易量改变时（放量或收量），看均价或中价可能会误读。只有交易量稳定时，这些价格数据才有同比作用。

kingsmsmsm

當供給大於需求時，價格為什麼不會掉下來？
; b2 Y* {* p% P: `  V- X凱因斯恐怕不瞑目。

catty

原帖由 kingsmsmsm 于 2006-11-3 16:53 发表
當供給大於需求時，價格為什麼不會掉下來？
9 r9 f* f2 |  }( B' a. A4 i凱因斯恐怕不瞑目。

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) g& j; Y8 A5 X  j" }) m0 y7 C' z+ H人家仍是大师，问题是城市的房子交易量较小，如果一个月成交500k个房子，统计效果更明显

kingsmsmsm

我只是想將炒作的現象凸顯出來。同時加拿大也不是資本主義國家。
市場法則在那麼多力量的扭曲下，早就不適用。

zhangweibao

Do you know that new gas wells fall down by 15% in 2006.

Z

原帖由 kingsmsmsm 于 2006-11-3 16:53 发表
) i3 J2 Y  ^; }; J當供給大於需求時，價格為什麼不會掉下來？
4 q: Z5 S3 b2 j4 c  n9 y9 o凱因斯恐怕不瞑目。

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" ~) _  {8 u" c! x' d$ R3 p% I掉是一个过程。可快可慢，也要看持房者心理。

从股市看再明显不过了，股票供大于求时，股价开跌。老手果断斩仓，新手犹犹豫豫，很多寄希望于回弹。房子周期长，多数炒房者都是第一次进入牛市，看到收量滞涨时，不会主动降价出货。价格必然停滞，直到：

1）市场反弹，或
# B9 C3 `( g; D# s1 t2）当少数炒家/建筑商出现资金链困难强行平仓时，就开始了价格的螺旋下降
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5 l5 J3 b+ p+ C+ G( U美国大部分地区2005年进入滞涨，今年进入螺旋下降。新房10月份同比价格下降9.7%，考虑到美国地方那么多，部分地方才开始涨，就是说部分涨过头的地方跌了20%以上。象新泽西属于传统的好州，最近破产了一个资产5亿的大建筑商 "Kara Homes"，还在筹钱以完成购房者已经付过款的房子。

Z

原帖由 kingsmsmsm 于 2006-11-3 20:33 发表
我只是想將炒作的現象凸顯出來。同時加拿大也不是資本主義國家。
市場法則在那麼多力量的扭曲下，早就不適用。

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错，市场法则即使是社会主义国家也是适用的。
7 ]0 \, K+ B1 |6 S, {3 h$ n4 A6 @好比中国，当年国家定价食品。结果是商店没货，这就是市场法则。价格低就没有供应。