鲜花( 4348) 鸡蛋( 18)
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本帖最后由 紫光 于 2010-11-3 21:39 编辑
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( B, L; L, }% N+ gThe US dollar was under pressure following a slightly more aggressive QE than the markets had anticipated. The Federal Reserve announced they will purchase an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities over the next 8 months which comes out to about $75 billion per month. This is compared to forecasts of $500 billion over 6 months and is in addition to the roughly $35 billion per month in reinvestment purchases.$ L( Y. y" S! F* \
嘿嘿……美国准备印很多很多的钱,不过这个预期已经被PRICE IN了1个多月了。$ o9 R* f+ h- U: ~
现在股市标普为例面临1210-1220之间的阻力。
S1 p" ?+ `8 w, R参见我9月1号的帖子:http://www.edmontonchina.ca/view ... &extra=page%3D2
3 E0 Z3 R: T% N. P2 s从大势上看,突破是迟早的事情,但是我们应该注意一下市场今天都告诉了我们什么。: I/ T% m2 B w1 i4 M) _9 w
今天的市场风险资产以黄金为例,经历了大起大落。在消息出来之前,黄金自由落体般下跌了30块。而消息是more aggressive,但是黄金未能创出新高。! g8 V, q& q ^) U- q8 f
今天早些时候出来的数据:
# B* E1 l& ~! O' C9 UEconomic data released earlier showed ADP employment was much better than the expected +20K with a print of +43K for October up from the prior month’s -2K (revised higher from -39K). September factory orders surprised to the upside rising by more than the forecast of +1.6% climbing +2.1% from the prior 0.0 and the October ISM non-manufacturing index advanced to 54.3 (cons. 53.5 prior 53.2). The ISM Chairman mentioned that the ‘slow growth’ indicated by the report is more sustainable than a fast pickup.
B# \5 X. a! g6 Q# ~股市在这些数据的配合下,仅仅小涨。 |3 V% F6 u/ ?% V
种种迹象都证明风险资产的上涨长期看还有大幅空间。) Q, `# z8 _0 Q/ }4 Q
短期看,OVERDONE。6 h- r" h2 x5 D; w$ Z; T$ F# J
所以关注标普1210-1220的阻力位置。1 x* O6 x6 b/ f3 ?
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至于黄金,很清楚的3浪调整走势,目前是第三浪开始不久,不过不能越过1366。
6 P! T1 K3 F# g; `9 T2 i8 U2 G$ o4 ^8 Q因此可以考虑在1256.50卖出黄金,止损1267。目标大概1280-1285之间。图不知道为什么不能下载,抱歉。 |
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