Single Family info update Oct 1-10

QWE321 · 发表于 2007-10-16 15:13

Edmonton Single Family Home
MLS Statistics(Unofficial)
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the Edmonton Real Estate Board

Date Inventory New Listings Added Sales 30-Day Avg Price 30-Day Median Price SP/SF DOM Sales/NewListing Ratio

Oct 1-10 4879 678 185 429,254 394,000 295 40 27%

Sep 2007 5030 2214 515 426,984 390,000 303 41 23%

Aug 2007 4656 2108 635 429,889 395,000 314 36 30%

Jul 2007
NA
2328
717
442,752
410,000
320
28
31%

Jun 2007
NA
2661
1011
442,817
409,000
328
22
38%

May 2007
NA
2288
1261
451,216
415,000
322
19
55%

紫光 · 发表于 2007-10-16 21:03

存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
鉴定完毕！

WST · 发表于 2007-10-16 21:25

看来，存货似已见顶。
这几天，在街上又见现金收购房子的广告。

yj151 · 发表于 2007-10-16 22:45

景之白干 · 发表于 2007-10-17 00:22

原帖由紫光于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
5 b- m+ u4 l) s2 W# D" S" E/ ~% k存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
+ P% H9 K( r3 P鉴定完毕！

用十天的数据来和30天的比较，鉴定结果可靠吗？

Z · 发表于 2007-10-17 06:36

1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

Z · 发表于 2007-10-17 06:42

原帖由紫光于 2007-10-16 22:03 发表
8 b6 H6 X8 b6 q/ I y. S' v存货降151， AVG.PRICE涨0.53%
4 l2 L, U( L/ M( r) ^5 K7 N鉴定完毕！

呵呵，太不专业了吧。

新存量 = 旧存量 + 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量

就是说，存量变化 = 新存量 - 旧存量 = 新列量 - 新销量 - 下市量 = 678 -185 - 下市量

这里面我们没有下市量的数据。你简单的回避新增的678和未知的下市量，你的算法也太粗糙了。

QWE321 · 发表于 2007-10-17 07:21

Don't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

judyzh · 发表于 2007-10-17 08:01

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
2 n% {: Q. q4 c2 DDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

紫光 · 发表于 2007-10-17 08:04

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 08:21 发表
+ y' a# b& o* C m! n( zDon't be too serious, Just like water in the cup, somebody say half full and others say half empty.

QWE321 · 发表于 2007-10-17 09:09

In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
Is the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?
How about all these potential buyers start taking their action?
That is what i say half full or half empty.
good luck for people seeking their house.

水管工 · 发表于 2007-10-17 09:23

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-17 10:09 发表 ) q' r6 J+ R" ~9 R7 L
In average sale 3000 per month, but last 6 months, the sales between 1000 to 2000.
# _) M4 t. k. Z$ X* pIs the mean there are other 6000 potential buyers there?: C2 \+ I$ S3 c2 i) e) T! f8 X! n
How about all these potential buyers start taking the ...

I think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST · 发表于 2007-10-17 12:10

原帖由 QWE321 于 2007-10-16 16:13 发表
$ `% A' j* i4 f1 e' l( S$ OEdmonton Single Family Home & v0 i$ l( A' x' P0 v
MLS Statistics(Unofficial) 1 k( ~5 B1 C5 \) U; m0 P5 C
Includes Edmonton, St Albert, Sherwood Park, Spruce Grove, Stony Plain& v! t/ a G) m: F
Note: These areas do not coincide with the criteria used by the ...

QWE321:　这些数据来源于何处？是否可靠？又无网站连接?

QWE321 · 发表于 2007-10-17 12:32

http://www.bobtruman.com/Edmonton_SFH_stats/page_1918017.html

小曲 · 发表于 2007-10-17 12:34

原帖由 水管工 于 2007-10-17 10:23 发表
3 U. N! q' N& u$ ?6 Q5 f: m: m
7 o& K/ G$ G" ?4 w( @6 |! y) {
% ^7 f/ n- d. k4 kI think a lot of investors and speculators are quitting from the market, it is too hard for them to make money. Instead, they are dumping their houses now to make a profit.

WST · 发表于 2007-10-17 15:46

原帖由 Z 于 2007-10-17 07:36 发表 / o0 [% H4 ~" ]& {7 m. H
1）房价持续下跌，每尺从303跌到295。6 @4 }( N- \( u$ C* d- J- i
2）成交房里大房子比重上升，使得每尺单价下跌但总的中位价上升。
( U" Z& X$ w7 u3 k+ {& v3 \3 |3）存量惊人。每年秋冬，存量都会锐减。但现在是持平。考虑到季节因素，存量其实是增加了。

下半年，存量通常会持续增加，以卡城为例，参考下图：

只有去年例外，存量在年末锐减。

WST · 发表于 2007-10-17 16:09

上图为days inventory 和总存量有不同。总存量在年末的确大减。
看来，观察days inventory 更重要。

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Single Family info update Oct 1-10

回复 #16 WST 的帖子